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The_Jeh
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2008 College Football
« on: Sep 29th, 2008, 5:37pm »		 Quote Quote Modify Modify
I did some rankings last year, and have since developed a system that produces very reasonable results once the number of games gets high enough. That point probably hasn't been reached yet, but here are the Sept. 29 rankings:
 
1. Alabama 5-0
2. Penn State 5-0
3. Oklahoma 4-0
4. Missouri 4-0
5. Texas 4-0
6. Vanderbilt 4-0
7. Northwestern 5-0
8. South Florida 5-0
9. Ball State 5-0
10. Utah 5-0
11. Kentucky 4-0
12. Texas Tech 4-0
13. Oklahoma State 4-0
14. Connecticut 5-0
15. Brigham Young 4-0
16. Virginia Tech 4-1
17. Georgia 4-1
18. Boise State 3-0
19. LSU 4-0
20. Tulsa 4-0
21. TCU 4-1
22. Wake Forest 3-1
23. Duke 3-1
24. Kansas 3-1
25. Nebraska 3-1
 
I know the results don't make sense in some cases - for example, Florida at #45 and USC at #47. This is because with the low number of games, the Bradley-Terry component is very sensitive to losses. The pure point component is probably slightly more meaningful at this point:
 
1. Texas 86.45
2. Penn State 86.42
3. Oklahoma 85.75
4. USC 78.52
5. Missouri 76.52
6. Florida 76.06
7. Alabama 73.69
8. Brigham Young 72.98
9. California 71.91
10. TCU 71.21
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The_Jeh
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Re: 2008 College Football
« Reply #1 on: Oct 6th, 2008, 7:30pm »		 Quote Quote Modify Modify
October 6 rankings
730 teams, 1786 games
 
1. Missouri 5-0
2. Alabama 6-0
3. Penn State 6-0
4. Oklahoma 5-0
5. Texas 5-0
6. Texas Tech 5-0
7. Ball State 6-0
8. Utah 6-0
9. Vanderbilt 5-0
10. Tulsa 5-0
11. Oklahoma State 5-0
12. Georgia Tech 4-1
13. Northwestern 5-0
14. Virginia Tech 5-1
15. Brigham Young 5-0
16. Georgia 4-1
17. Boise State 4-0
18. LSU 4-0
19. North Carolina 4-1
20. TCU 5-1
21. Michigan State 5-1
22. California 4-1
23. South Florida 5-1
24. Ohio State 5-1
25. USC 3-1
 
Point Model Results:
1. USC 88.7
2. Oklahoma 85.9
3. Penn State 85.4
4. Missouri 84.3
5. Texas 84.0
6. Florida 76.9
7. Alabama 72.1
8. TCU 72.1
9. Georgia Tech 71.6
10. Oklahoma State 71.4
11. Georgia 70.4
12. California 70.3
13. Texas Tech 70.2
14. Tulsa 70.1
15. Ball State 69.3
16. Oregon 69.0
17. Brigham Young 68.0
18. Oregon State 67.7
19. Arizona 67.7
20. Boise State 67.6
21. Wake Forest 67.4
22. North Carolina 66.9
23. Michigan State 66.8
24. Iowa 66.8
25. Florida State 66.2
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Re: 2008 College Football
« Reply #2 on: Oct 12th, 2008, 10:56am »		 Quote Quote Modify Modify
October 13 Rankings
2123 games
 
1. Texas 6-0
2. Alabama 6-0
3. Penn State 7-0
4. Oklahoma State 6-0
5. Texas Tech 6-0
6. Utah 7-0
7. Ball State 7-0
8. Oklahoma 5-1
9. Brigham Young 6-0
10. Georgia 5-1
11. Michigan State 6-1
12. Boise State 5-0
13. Tulsa 6-0
14. North Carolina 5-1
15. Missouri 5-1
16. Ohio State 6-1
17. Virginia Tech 5-1
18. USC 4-1
19. Florida 5-1
20. TCU 6-1
21. Georgia Tech 5-1
22. South Florida 5-1
23. Wake Forest 4-1
24. Northwestern 5-1
25. Kansas 5-1
 
Point Model
1. USC 88.0
2. Penn State 85.1
3. Texas 84.8
4. Oklahoma 81.9
5. Missouri 78.4
6. Florida 78.0
7. Oklahoma State 73.1
8. Alabama 72.7
9. California 70.8
10. Georgia 69.9
11. Oregon State 69.9
12. Texas Tech 69.6
13. Iowa 69.5
14. TCU 68.5
15. Michigan State 67.8
16. Brigham Young 66.8
17. Wake Forest 66.2
18. Ball State 65.9
19. Boise State 65.9
20. Arizona 65.0
21. Oregon 64.9
22. Kansas 64.3
23. Florida State 64.2
24. Utah 64.2
25. North Carolina 63.8
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Re: 2008 College Football
« Reply #3 on: Oct 19th, 2008, 8:55pm »		 Quote Quote Modify Modify
Oct. 20 Rankings
2463 games
 
1. Texas 7-0
2. Penn State 8-0
3. Alabama 7-0
4. Oklahoma State 7-0
5. Texas Tech 7-0
6. Oklahoma 6-1
7. Utah 8-0
8. Tulsa 7-0
9. Georgia 6-1
10. Ohio State 7-1
11. TCU 7-1
12. Boise State 6-0
13. USC 5-1
14. Ball State 7-0
15. Florida 5-1
16. South Florida 6-1
17. Georgia Tech 6-1
18. Missouri 5-2
19. Northwestern 6-1
20. Brigham Young 6-1
21. Minnesota 6-1
22. Pittsburgh 5-1
23. LSU 5-1
24. Michigan State 6-2
25. North Carolina 5-2
 
Point Model
1. USC 90.4
2. Texas 87.9
3. Penn State 84.0
4. Oklahoma 81.6
5. Florida 80.6
6. Missouri 77.3
7. Oklahoma State 74.7
8. TCU 71.4
9. Alabama 71.3
10. Georgia 70.4
11. Texas Tech 70.3
12. Oregon State 69.5
13. Tulsa 69.4
14. Iowa 69.1
15. Arizona 68.3
16. Ohio State 68.2
17. California 67.0
18. Brigham Young 65.5
19. Utah 65.3
20. Boise State 65.3
21. Oregon 65.1
22. Illinois 64.7
23. South Florida 64.6
24. Kansas 64.5
25. Nebraska 64.2
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Re: 2008 College Football
« Reply #4 on: Oct 26th, 2008, 8:30pm »		 Quote Quote Modify Modify
Oct 27 Rankings
2800 games
 
1. Texas 8-0
2. Penn State 9-0
3. Alabama 8-0
4. Texas Tech 8-0
5. Oklahoma 7-1
6. Utah 8-0
7. Georgia 7-1
8. Tulsa 8-0
9. Oklahoma State 7-1
10. USC 6-1
11. Boise State 7-0
12. Florida 6-1
13. TCU 8-1
14. Ball State 8-0
15. Ohio State 7-2
16. Missouri 6-2
17. North Carolina 6-2
18. Minnesota 7-1
19. Florida State 6-1
20. Brigham Young 7-1
21. Michigan State 7-2
22. Connecticut 6-2
23. Georgia Tech 6-2
24. LSU 5-2
25. Virginia 5-3
 
Point Model
1. USC 89.3
2. Texas 86.9
3. Florida 86.2
4. Penn State 83.0
5. Missouri 81.4
6. Oklahoma 80.2
7. Oklahoma State 77.0
8. Texas Tech 75.2
9. Alabama 71.5
10. TCU 71.3
11. Arizona 70.5
12. Oregon State 68.9
13. Georgia 69.7
14. Ohio State 69.6
15. Tulsa 69.2
16. Iowa 68.9
17. Oregon 68.3
18. California 67.1
19. Utah 66.6
20. North Carolina 66.0
21. Boise State 65.5
22. Nebraska 65.0
23. Brigham Young 63.6
24. Illinois 63.1
25. Ball State 63.0
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Re: 2008 College Football
« Reply #5 on: Nov 3rd, 2008, 2:33pm »		 Quote Quote Modify Modify
November 3 Rankings
3136 games
 
1. Texas 8-1
2. Texas Tech 9-0
3. Penn State 9-0
4. Alabama 9-0
5. Florida 7-1
6. Oklahoma 8-1
7. Utah 9-0
8. Boise State 8-0
9. TCU 9-1
10. Oklahoma State 8-1
11. USC 7-1
12. Georgia 7-2
13. Missouri 7-2
14. Ball State 8-0
15. Ohio State 7-2
16. Brigham Young 8-1
17. North Carolina 6-2
18. Tulsa 8-1
19. Michigan State 8-2
20. LSU 6-2
21. Georgia Tech 7-2
22. Northwestern 7-2
23. Minnesota 7-2
24. Florida State 6-2
25. California 6-2
 
Point Model
1. USC 90.4
2. Florida 89.9
3. Texas 85.9
4. Penn State 83.8
5. Oklahoma 82.9
6. Missouri 79.0
7. Texas Tech 77.8
8. Oklahoma State 77.0
9. Alabama 73.5
10. TCU 72.9
11. Arizona 71.6
12. Ohio State 69.8
13. California 68.9
14. Georgia 68.8
15. Boise State 68.7
16. Iowa 68.6
17. Oregon State 68.2
18. Oregon 68.0
19. Tulsa 66.8
20. Utah 66.2
21. North Carolina 66.1
22. Illinois 65.0
23. Miami FL 63.6
24. Ball State 63.4
25. Brigham Young 63.3
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Re: 2008 College Football
« Reply #6 on: Nov 9th, 2008, 7:37pm »		 Quote Quote Modify Modify
November 10 Rankings
3475 Games
 
1. Texas Tech
2. Texas
3. Florida
4. Alabama
5. Oklahoma
6. Utah
7. Boise State
8. USC
9. Penn State
10. Georgia
11. Ohio State
12. Ball State
13. Missouri
14. TCU
15. Oklahoma State
16. North Carolina
17. Brigham Young
18. Michigan State
19. Tulsa
20. Florida State
21. Cincinnati
22. Pittsburgh
23. LSU
24. Georgia Tech
25. South Carolina
 
Point Model
1. USC
2. Florida
3. Texas
4. Oklahoma
5. Penn State
6. Texas Tech
7. Missouri
8. Oklahoma State
9. TCU
10. Alabama
11. Ohio State
12. Iowa
13. Arizona
14. California
15. Boise State
16. Oregon State
17 Utah
18. North Carolina
19. Oregon
20. Tulsa
21. Georgia
22. Ball State
23. Nebraska
24. Florida State
25. Miami FL
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Re: 2008 College Football
« Reply #7 on: Nov 30th, 2008, 5:43pm »		 Quote Quote Modify Modify
December 1 Rankings
3931 Games
 
1. Oklahoma 11-1  
2. Texas 11-1  
3. Alabama 12-0  
4. Florida 11-1  
5. Texas Tech 11-1  
6. Utah 12-0  
7. Penn State 11-1  
8. USC 10-1  
9. Boise State 12-0  
10. TCU 10-2  
11. Ohio State 10-2
12. Ball State 12-0
13. Oklahoma State 9-3  
14. Georgia 9-3
15. Brigham Young 10-2
16. Missouri 9-3
17. Georgia Tech 9-3
18. Boston College 9-3
19. Cincinnati 10-2
20. Florida State 8-4
21. Michigan State 9-3
22. North Carolina 8-4
23. Oregon 9-3
24. Nebraska 8-4
25. Pittsburgh 8-3
 
Point Model
1. Florida  87.4
2. USC 86.6
3. Oklahoma 84.8
4. Texas 83.2
5. Penn State 79.3
6. Texas Tech 73.7
7. Missouri 73.6
8. TCU 71.8
9. Alabama 70.2
10. Ohio State 69.9
 
Bradley-Terry
1. Utah
2. Oklahoma
3. Alabama
4. Texas  
5. Texas Tech
6. Florida
7. Boise State
8. Penn State
9. Ball State
10. USC
« Last Edit: Nov 30th, 2008, 5:58pm by The_Jeh » IP Logged
The_Jeh
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Re: 2008 College Football
« Reply #8 on: Dec 12th, 2008, 11:14pm »		 Quote Quote Modify Modify
Final Rankings
December 13
3962 games
 
1. Oklahoma 12-1
2. Florida 12-1
3. Texas 11-1
4. Texas Tech 11-1
5. Utah 12-0
6. Alabama 12-1
7. USC 11-1
8. Penn State 11-1
9. Boise State 12-0
10. TCU 10-2
11. Ohio State 10-2
12. Oklahoma State 9-3
13. Georgia 9-3
14. Brigham Young 10-2
15. Georgia Tech 9-3
16. Cincinnati 11-2
17. Ball State 12-1
18. Missouri 9-4
19. Florida State 8-4
20. Michigan State 9-3
21. Pittsburgh 9-3
22. Virginia Tech 9-4
23. North Carolina 8-4
24. Boston College 9-4
25. Oregon 9-3
 
Point Model
1. Oklahoma 86.8
2. Florida 86.6
3. USC 85.0
4. Texas 83.1
5. Penn State 79.3
6. Texas Tech 73.9
7. TCU 72.1
8. Missouri 71.6
9. Alabama 70.1
10. Ohio State 69.8
 
Bradley-Terry
1. Oklahoma 12-1
2. Utah 12-0
3. Texas 11-1
4. Texas Tech 11-1
5. Florida 12-1
6. Alabama 12-1
7. Boise State 12-0
8. Penn State 11-1
9. USC 11-1
10. Cincinnati 11-2
« Last Edit: Dec 12th, 2008, 11:17pm by The_Jeh » IP Logged
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