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Fritzlein
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Retention Statistic
« on: Aug 16th, 2009, 7:43pm »
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I just did a quick query on my database of games through July.  There have been 4654 unique human accounts that have played at least one game of Arimaa.  Of those accounts, 175 of them have played one hundred or more games.  That's 3.76%.
 
Think about that for a minute.  Do three percent of all the people who play at least one game of Settlers of Catan go on to play over a hundred games of it?  I personally have played Settlers a couple dozen times, and I don't know anyone who has played over a hundred.  How about Blokus, a recent abstract game that has hit the big time?
 
To me it looks like Arimaa has an incredibly high retention rate, which bodes very well for its long-term success.  It seems the statistics support what I often say: Arimaa just doesn't get old.
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omar
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Re: Retention Statistic
« Reply #1 on: Aug 19th, 2009, 6:41pm »
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I had looked at similar stats also earlier this year. At the time this is what the numbers were:
 
1  4119
2  2659
5  1605
10  1126
20  710
50  314
100  153
200  82
500  35
1000  12
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Fritzlein
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Re: Retention Statistic
« Reply #2 on: Aug 19th, 2009, 7:15pm »
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That's interesting that the ratio has held pretty much constant.  I wonder if the new players that find us because of the boxed set release will follow the same trend.
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Fritzlein
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Re: Retention Statistic
« Reply #3 on: Mar 10th, 2010, 3:37pm »
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Updated statistics, through February 2010:
 
1  5531
2  3574
5  2182
10  1551
20  964
50  407
100  204
200  115
500  46
1000  17
 
The headline statistic, i.e. the proportion of people who stick around for 100 games, is now 3.69%.  I had expected that it would drop given an influx of new players due to the publication of physical sets.  Perhaps the Arimaa gameroom is now reaching a broader, less dedicated audience than before?  But no, the ratio remains essentially constant.  We have a whole new crop of addicts on our hands! Cheesy
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Arimabuff
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Re: Retention Statistic
« Reply #4 on: Mar 11th, 2010, 4:24am »
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It's funny that Chessandgo one of the two best Arimaa players to date has only played 714 games so far.
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omar
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Re: Retention Statistic
« Reply #5 on: Mar 11th, 2010, 9:08am »
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on Mar 11th, 2010, 4:24am, Arimabuff wrote:
It's funny that Chessandgo one of the two best Arimaa players to date has only played 714 games so far.

 
Think about what that says for his ability to quickly master a subject. It's quite incredible.
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docreason
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Re: Retention Statistic
« Reply #6 on: Mar 16th, 2010, 2:57pm »
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If Arimaa joins the rotation of games a large numbers of people play (even casually), Arimaa will be in good shape.  I believe a game grows more if it is played by a lot of people more casually, than if it has a core group of fanatics that play it extensively, and not too many others play it.  The large numbers means, following how human network work, that each of these people share the rules with others.  
 
Once you get large enough, then you can create a professional class of players who can make a living doing this.  This last bit is a challenge, as even chess now has difficulties (a lot of good players took up poker to be able to pay the bills).  However, in Asia,  the likes of Go supports professional players.  
 
The professional class is important to a game's success.  With it, you get players who you can market, who can get endorsement deals, who then get the name of the game out among the public.  You then produce a Michael Jordan, Pele, or Tiger Woods, who go beyond the games.  The last player in mindsports we had who fit this level is Bobby Fischer.  Omar Sharif also I believe was a top bridge and backgammon player and had some pull.    
 
I would say IF we can produce a player like that, who opens up abstract strategy games AS A CATEGORY, we would be in a real good position.  The problem a single game boom does (rather than a genre) is that it doesn't get you a permanent foothold in the media, the way physical sports has.  
 
We also do have room for getting celebrities involved.  Check this write up on Backgammon:
http://www.pokerplayer.co.uk/sports-betting/news/193/backgammon.html
« Last Edit: Mar 16th, 2010, 3:00pm by docreason » IP Logged
Fritzlein
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Re: Retention Statistic
« Reply #7 on: Jun 10th, 2011, 4:33pm »
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Updated statistics, through May 2011:
 
1  7284
2  4765
5  2933
10  2058
20  1275
50  539
100  267
200  144
500  64
1000  24
 
The headline statistic, i.e. the proportion of people who stick around for 100 games, is now 3.67%, essentially flat from the last measurement a fifteen months ago.  Just taking the differences, there are 1753 new human accounts and 63 new players above the 100-game mark, a rate of 3.59%, which is what pulled our average down just a titch.
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Boo
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Re: Retention Statistic
« Reply #8 on: Jul 25th, 2011, 9:26am »
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Hm I think it would be interesting to see statistics of how many human-human games on average are played on server per year.
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Fritzlein
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Re: Retention Statistic
« Reply #9 on: Jul 25th, 2011, 2:28pm »
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on Jul 25th, 2011, 9:26am, Boo wrote:
Hm I think it would be interesting to see statistics of how many human-human games on average are played on server per year.

2002  64
2003  282
2004  225
2005  876
2006  1385
2007  1114
2008  1378
2009  1199
2010  1547
2011  860 through May
« Last Edit: Jul 25th, 2011, 2:28pm by Fritzlein » IP Logged

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