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Topic: Past and future growth (Read 18888 times) |
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omar
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Arimaa player #2
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Re: Past and future growth
« Reply #30 on: Feb 8th, 2011, 5:25pm » |
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Since the bots are off during WC games, I think that may also be helping to boost the number of HH games. Also I've seen more WC players practicing against humans to prepare for their games.
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Fritzlein
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Arimaa player #706
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Re: Past and future growth
« Reply #31 on: Aug 14th, 2011, 4:26pm » |
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We're starting to emerge from the traditional summer slump. The Gang vs. Mob and the AWL are giving us something to chat about. The number of unique users per days and total games played have also ticked up again. I will be surprised if 2011 isn't another record year, and the first year with over 40,000 games played on the server.
It was sad that Zman had to remainder his Arimaa sets; apparently Arimaa isn't quite ready for the prime time as a business endeavor. As a playing community, however, Arimaa shows no signs of letting up. Barring a decision by Omar to simply pull the plug, I think we are past a critical mass and to the point where Arimaa will grow every year simply on the continuing excellence of the game.
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Fritzlein
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Arimaa player #706
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Re: Past and future growth
« Reply #32 on: Jan 5th, 2012, 3:20pm » |
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Year New Accts Games Played UU/day
---- --------- ------------ ------
2003 . 381 . 4722
2004 . 334 . 6018
2005 . 770 . 12221
2006 . 635 . 22447
2007 . 729 . 22031
2008 . 756 . 25331 . 38
2009 . 1052 . 37418 . 51
2010 . 1194 . 36121 . 63
2011 . 997 . 40405 . 71
New accounts were down in 2011, but games played and unique users per day were each up more than 10%. My interpretation: our evangelism was weak but our retention remains strong and our engagement is increasing.
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omar
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Arimaa player #2
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Re: Past and future growth
« Reply #33 on: Jan 6th, 2012, 5:48pm » |
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Thanks for posting this. You were right we did cross 40,000 this year; good prediction. Lets hope 2012 will be another record year; maybe we will cross 50,000 games 
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Arimabuff
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Arimaa player #2764
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Re: Past and future growth
« Reply #34 on: Jan 13th, 2012, 8:43am » |
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on Jan 5th, 2012, 3:20pm, Fritzlein wrote:| ...My interpretation: our evangelism was weak but our retention remains strong and our engagement is increasing. |
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Let's hope we've passed the Jehovah's witnesses' stage...
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megajester
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Istanbul, Turkey
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Re: Past and future growth
« Reply #35 on: Jan 13th, 2012, 9:04am » |
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on Jan 13th, 2012, 8:43am, Arimabuff wrote:
Let's hope we've passed the Jehovah's witnesses' stage... |
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hyperpape
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Arimaa player #7113
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Re: Past and future growth
« Reply #36 on: Feb 26th, 2012, 11:10pm » |
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I got curious, looking at this thread. Around 10500 games so far this year, 1400 new players.
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rbarreira
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Arimaa player #1621
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Re: Past and future growth
« Reply #37 on: Feb 27th, 2012, 4:17am » |
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on Feb 26th, 2012, 11:10pm, hyperpape wrote:| I got curious, looking at this thread. Around 10500 games so far this year, 1400 new players. |
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Nice. There were about 7600 games between Jan-Feb 2011, so that's at least a 38% increase year-on-year.
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99of9
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Gnobby's creator (player #314)
 
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Re: Past and future growth
« Reply #38 on: Feb 27th, 2012, 5:35pm » |
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How does it look for H-H games?
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hyperpape
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Arimaa player #7113
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Re: Past and future growth
« Reply #39 on: Feb 27th, 2012, 7:18pm » |
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No idea. I just did it the stupid way via game record numbers, not using the database.
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Fritzlein
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Arimaa player #706
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Re: Past and future growth
« Reply #40 on: Mar 7th, 2012, 8:08pm » |
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on Feb 27th, 2012, 5:35pm, 99of9 wrote:| How does it look for H-H games? |
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We are currently at an all-time high for HvH games, around 55 per week. Not that this is the record number for a single week, mind you, but the highest sustained average ever.
The record set in HvB games was even more dramatic, and the xkcd-induced spike in January looks discontinuous even after smoothing. Notably, however, we settled in to an average of more than 1000 HvB games per week throughout February. I had to rescale the graph from when I last did it in early 2011; back then we had never broken 1000.
I have to say that the recent surge reminds me of the heady days of 2005. Back then we had a new World Champion every year, bot_Bomb was behind the humans but still improving, and the man vs. machine match was competitive enough that only a handful of humans could defend it. (Hands up all who remember wondering whether Belbo might lose to Bomb in 2005!) Most of all, we had no idea what was going to happen next. It is inspiring to see Arimaa recapturing that sense of excitement and possibility on both sides of the Challenge.
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| « Last Edit: Mar 7th, 2012, 8:20pm by Fritzlein » |
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99of9
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Gnobby's creator (player #314)
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Re: Past and future growth
« Reply #41 on: Mar 7th, 2012, 9:53pm » |
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Thanks Fritz.
*raises hand*
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lightvector
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Arimaa player #2543
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Re: Past and future growth
« Reply #42 on: Mar 12th, 2012, 10:12pm » |
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That spike in January looks really unimpressive at first, until you look at how strongly logarithmic the y axis is...
Cool!
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Fritzlein
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Arimaa player #706
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Re: Past and future growth
« Reply #43 on: Mar 21st, 2012, 12:15am » |
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on Mar 12th, 2012, 10:12pm, lightvector wrote:That spike in January looks really unimpressive at first, until you look at how strongly logarithmic the y axis is...
Cool! |
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Yes, it is both logarithmic, so all three types of games fit on the same chart, and smoothed, so the eye can make sense of the data more easily. This combines to make short-term moves look unimpressive, but gives a good feel for the long-term trends. I like it because the long-term trend is up.
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Arimabuff
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Arimaa player #2764
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Re: Past and future growth
« Reply #44 on: Mar 21st, 2012, 7:28am » |
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on Mar 21st, 2012, 12:15am, Fritzlein wrote:
Yes, it is both logarithmic, so all three types of games fit on the same chart, and smoothed, so the eye can make sense of the data more easily. This combines to make short-term moves look unimpressive, but gives a good feel for the long-term trends. I like it because the long-term trend is up. |
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We broke the audience record hands down last time, I believe it was over 80, fortunately the server can take it and then some.
Now, if you take into account the dozens that might have been repelled by my accent, then sky's the limit...
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